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Covid admissions underestimated by a third

Newly released documents have revealed Sage modelling from two weeks ago has underestimated hospital admissions by more than a third.

Estimations were made by government modelling, predicting there would be about 275 daily hospital cases in England by 6 July, however, on 7 July figures have shown it was around 461.

Dr Stephen Griffin, from the University of Leeds has said "“While we can’t say for sure that hospitalisations might follow this precise trajectory, it seems likely that they will track the exponential growth in cases we are seeing. Thus, as many are predicting, the dropping of restrictions on July 19 represents an unacceptable and unnecessary risk,”. 

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Source: The Times, 10 July 2021


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