COVID-19 Narrative Seventeen: Routes out of lockdown

Summary

In this article, Dr David Nabarro and John Atkinson discuss the routes out of the coronavirus lockdown.

Quality information is at a premium. Decisions will be based on data about the spread of the virus disaggregated by locality. Numbers of people becoming infected will need to be factored into decisions. The goal is to understand the extent of transmission and whether the rate of increase in people infected is starting to reduce. 

The sequence for easing a lockdown will vary from place to place. Decision-makers will be considering multiple factors when deciding how best to do this. Here they explore the questions decision-makers will be asking and indicate some of the factors they might consider.